graysnail (graysnail) wrote,

More Ranking Theory (Final Pre-bowl Season Installment)

Talk about delayed.  I've got four weeks to cover.

Week 11

Lost in Week 11:
Alabama (4/3), Georgia (9/9), Florida (12/12), Texas Tech (13/13), Florida State (17/16), Wisconsin (19/19), Colorado (22/21), Georgia Tech (24/24), Northwestern (25/U)

Ending spots:
Alabama (8/8)
Georgia (14/14)
Florida (20/20)
Texas Tech (21/19)
Florida State (22/22)
Wisconsin (25/24)
Colorado (U/U
Georgia Tech (U/U)
Northwestern (U/U)

Who fit Ranking Theory?
Fit:
Alabama (1st loss, 5-7)
Colorado
Georgia Tech
Northwestern
Close:
Georgia (1st loss fall for a 2nd loss)
Texas Tech (2nd loss, 8/6)
Not close:
Florida
Florida State
Wisconsin

Week 12:

Lost in Week 12:
Miami (3/3), Alabama (8/8), Fresno State (16/16), Michigan (17/17), South Carolina (19/21), UTEP (24/25)

Ending spots:
Miami (10/10)
Alabama (14/14)
Fresno State (16/16)
Michigan (22/23)
South Carolina (U/U)
UTEP (U/U)

Who fit Ranking Theory?
Fit:
South Carolina
UTEP
Close:
Miami
Alabama
Not close:
Fresno State
Michigan



Week 13:

Lost in Week 13:
Fresno State (16/16), Georgia Tech (20/24), Florida State (23/21)

Ending spots:
Fresno State (23/22)
Georgia Tech (24/24)
Florida State (22/22)
(Were the interns just copying the ballots from the week before?)

Who fit Ranking Theory?
Fit:

Close:
Fresno State
Not close:
Georgia Tech
Florida State


Week 14:

Lost in Week 14:
LSU (3/3), Virginia Tech (5/5), UCLA (11/11), Fresno State (23/22)

Ending spots:
LSU (10/10)
Virginia Tech (12/12)
UCLA (17/17)
Fresno State (U/U)

Who fit Ranking Theory?
Fit:
Fresno State
Close:
LSU
Virginia Tech
Not close:
UCLA

So there you have it.  As the weeks went on, the system diverged a little bit; not a good sign.  It looks like there's a point of dimishing drops; once most teams have at least 1 loss, losses aren't punished as much as they were.  It was amusing to see Florida State not drop at all - then not get a boost from beating Virginia Tech.
Tags: football, ranking theory
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